China Merchants Securities: Hisense's household appliances are obviously underestimated, and the safety cushion is thick, and it is rated as "strongly recommended". China Merchants Securities Research Report pointed out that the growth rate of Hisense's household appliances (000921.SZ) slowed down, showing the first year-on-year decline in nine quarters since 22Q3, and the market confidence was weak. The company is obviously underestimated, and the safety mat is thick. Looking horizontally, in 2025, the valuations of Hisense, Midea and Haier will be 10/13/13 times; Historically, the company's share price has been deeply adjusted since May this year, and the current valuation is at a lower level since the 22-year reform. Referring to the global valuation system, the steady-state PE hub of johnson controls/Carrier/Trane is 30/25/20 times, which is higher than the valuation of white power enterprises represented by Whirlpool and Electrolux. Hisense household appliances, as the standard of A-share central air conditioning, should enjoy a higher valuation than white power companies. The improvement of the company's bottom management promotes efficiency and cost reduction+the global operation competitiveness is constantly strengthened+the company's leading position is stable under the background of domestic substitution of central air conditioning, and it continues to be firmly optimistic about the company. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by +8%, +9% and +10% from 2024 to 2026, and its performance will increase by +15%, +14% and +16% respectively. Give a "strongly recommended" rating.Since January 1, 2025, Chongqing maternity allowance has been issued to the insured female employees themselves. Recently, Chongqing Medical and Social Security Bureau issued the Notice on Adjusting the Payment Method for Maternity Insurance Benefits, and adjusted the payment method for maternity insurance benefits. From January 1, 2025, the application and method of maternity insurance benefits for the insured shall be applied by the insured himself or his client and issued to him by the medical insurance agency. In order to optimize the processing flow of maternity allowance, the service of "enjoy the maternity allowance immediately upon application" has been opened, that is, when the designated medical institutions in Chongqing settle the maternity medical expenses (delivery and termination of pregnancy), the medical insurance system automatically obtains the maternity-related information to calculate the maternity allowance, and the maternity allowance is paid to the insured after being approved by the medical insurance agency, and the insured or their clients do not need to provide relevant information to the medical insurance agency to declare the offline maternity allowance.Enterprise IT Expenditure Survey: Google Cloud is expected to be the first choice for 50% of the respondents. Tae Kim, a science and technology columnist, wrote that according to a recent survey, Google Cloud has risen rapidly in the enterprise AI expenditure competition and may become the winner. According to the 2025 CIO survey released by Piper Sandler, 81 CIOs were asked about their budget priorities in different suppliers and technical fields. According to the survey, 87% of CIOs surveyed expect to increase the IT budget in 2025, which is the highest proportion of the survey since 2020. In this survey, the status of Google Cloud has risen significantly, surpassing Microsoft and OpenAI to become the "most strategic" AI supplier, with a support rate of 27%, a significant increase from 15% six months ago. Relatively speaking, Microsoft's support rate dropped from 33% to 24%. When asked which cloud company they plan to use to test or implement AI projects next year, 50% of the respondents chose Google Cloud, making it the top AI infrastructure provider. In addition, Harsh Kumar, a Piper semiconductor analyst, pointed out that these results are also beneficial to Invista, because all cloud companies are the main buyers of AI chips in NVIDIA. Kumar estimates that the entire AI chip market will have more than $500 billion in business opportunities by 2028.
Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.
President of Hilton Asia Pacific: India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade. According to the data of the World Tourism and Travel Council, in 2023, Indian tourists spent $34.2 billion on outbound travel. Allen Watts, president of Hilton Asia Pacific, said that compared with the future, the current level of Indian outbound travel consumption is "negligible". "The story of India is unfolding before us," he said. "India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade." According to the World Tourism and Travel Council's Economic Impact in 2024 report, by 2034, the outbound spending of Indian tourists is expected to more than double, reaching 76.8 billion US dollars, which will make India's position in the global tourism consumption country rise from the 12th in 2023 to the 7th.Hebang Bio established a mining engineering company in Leshan, Sichuan. The enterprise search APP shows that Leshan Hebang Mining Engineering Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Fei Wang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: mineral resources reserve evaluation service; Mineral resources reserve estimation and report preparation services; Geological disaster management services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Hebang Bio.Flying Pig: In 2024, the number of holiday businesses whose GMV exceeded 100 million yuan was three times that of last year. On December 12, Flying Pig said at the 2024 holiday business conference that under the positioning of the open platform, the business efficiency and business satisfaction of businesses continued to improve. In 2024, the number of travel agencies, amusement parks, cruise ships and other holiday businesses on the Flying Pig platform maintained double-digit growth year-on-year. The number of businesses with GMV exceeding 100 million yuan was three times that of last year, and the average order volume of gold medal merchants reached more than twice the market level, with a conversion rate about 20% higher.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide